Football Betting Strategy – YOUR perception of the value is important
When it comes to football betting strategy and when you talk about finding the “value” in an NFL betting line, it’s a great concept, but you must remember that all this is easier said than done. In the National Football League, it is probably more difficult to do than it is in college football or college basketball.
Generally speaking, the more interest there is in a sports betting activity, the more attention the linemakers are going to spend on it – for instance, at a place like Lucky99. It’s pretty much that simple. And since there is a plethora of public information available on the NFL, you can bet (okay, pardon the pun) that when NFL betting lines are being made, they are going to be very tight. Also, there is enough volume in the action that the so-called “public” money often evens out. What you really have at the end of the day is the strength of your opinion, and that really should be the most important thing for you to rely on.
After all, when it comes down to finding “value” in a line, that’s nothing you’re going to read in the local newspaper or on the ESPN website. Let it be so declared that when we talk about “value,” it is YOUR perception of the value.
Football Betting Strategy – Opinions Count
So where do you derive your opinion from?
One of the things you may want to do is give yourself a point of reference. That can be done by compiling your own power ratings, which are going to be the foundation for your own interpretation of the NFL betting line. What you will do, for example, is rate the teams in the NFL from 1-32, and more importantly, you will assign a numerical value to their strength. Maybe you’re starting with a top figure of 100 and going downward from there. What is the biggest difference, in terms of point value, between the top NFL team and the one on the bottom? In other words, if you were to make a line between the two on a neutral field, what would that line be? Well, if the worst team is really terrible, it might be anywhere from 12-15 points. So if your top team is, say, a 99 (I don’t use 100, because hey, nobody’s perfect), maybe your bottom team is 84, 85, 86 or 87. Then every other team comes in between.
Football Betting Strategy – Set Your Rankings and trust them!
Don’t get crazy with the increments between one team and another, because in the NFL they are not that considerable. Make your ratings before the season starts, and continue to update them as the year progresses, moving teams up and down as you feel necessary. There are a couple of things we want to mention, though. Don’t adjust them according to the NFL betting line that you see for that week. Don’t get crazy with the increments between one team and another, because in the NFL they are not that considerable. Also, don’t do a “knee jerk” and move them solely on the basis of a bad game the previous week, because circumstances may dictate that this is not a true indication of their strength, relative to other teams. NFL teams often bounce back the following week, and the people who make the NFL betting line know this. You have to use your judgment when it comes to this kind of situation.
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SummaryArticle NameFootball Betting Strategy | Trust the Basis of Your Power RatingsDescriptionWhat you really have at the end of the day is the strength of your opinion, and that really should be the most important thing for you to rely on.Author
Charles Jay